BustedClimate

No Arctic Sea Ice Survives the Summer of 2013

Paul Beckwith, March 23, 2013: 'For the Record - I Do Not Think That Any Sea Ice Will Survive This Summer'

A University of Ottawa climatology PhD student and part-time professor went on record with 'total Arctic sea ice destruction in 2013.' The September minimum was 5.10 million square kilometres.

What was said

“For the record—I do not think that any sea ice will survive this summer.”

— Paul Beckwith (PhD student and part-time professor, University of Ottawa) · said Mar 23, 2013 · due Summer 2013

Plenty survived. NSIDC put the 2013 minimum, on September 13, at 5.10 million square kilometres - more than the record low of 2012.

Then vs Now

Then

Promised: no Arctic sea ice surviving summer 2013

Now
5.10 million km²

Arctic sea ice minimum extent, September 13, 2013 (as of 2013-09-13)

Source: NSIDC: Arctic sea ice reaches lowest extent for 2013 · retrieved 2026-10-09

The fine print

He repeated it in June: 'Since then, I have become even more confident about my prediction of total Arctic sea ice destruction in 2013.' He wrote that it was based on his 'Ph.D. studies on abrupt climate change' and his work as 'part-time professor in climatology/meteorology at the University of Ottawa.'

As of Oct 9, 2026

13 yearsy, 9 daysd

since it didn't happen

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